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swarm-master/docs/npu-advisory-decision-schema.md
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William Valentin dae2a57124 feat(npu): add advisory dry-run comparison harness
Add npu_advisory_decision_v1 schema, synthetic fixture set, comparison harness, docs, and focused tests for advisory-only NPU evaluation.
2026-06-06 15:30:31 -07:00

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NPU advisory decision schema and dry-run evaluation metrics

This document defines the compact npu_advisory_decision_v1 record and the minimum dry-run metrics required before any OpenVINO/NPU advisory lane is considered for promotion. The schema is advisory-only: it creates audit evidence and comparison data, not live authority.

Scope and safety defaults:

  • Local audit records only; no outbound sends, service restarts, tool execution, memory writes, routing changes, vector-store mutation, or broad private scans.
  • Synthetic or explicitly non-private fixtures only for dry-run evaluation.
  • Raw prompts, transcripts, documents, images, headers, secrets, and full upstream JSON payloads are not persisted by default.
  • NPU output is evidence for a gate. It must never directly perform or trigger an action.

npu_advisory_decision_v1

Required top-level fields:

Field Type Required Notes
schema_version string yes Always npu_advisory_decision_v1.
decision_id string yes Locally generated UUID/ULID. No payload-derived PII.
timestamp string yes RFC3339/ISO-8601 UTC timestamp.
source object yes Where the dry-run input came from.
service object yes Advisory lane/service that produced the recommendation.
input_class string yes Normalized class such as context_gate, cron_n8n_event, batch_doc_triage, voice_audio, kanban_hygiene, or advisory_gateway_envelope.
recommendation object yes NPU/advisory recommendation and rationale metadata.
confidence object yes Score, bucket, and calibration notes.
authority_flags object yes Explicit booleans for authority boundaries; all default false.
allowed_actions array[string] yes Actions a downstream gate may consider. Defaults to advisory-only actions.
actual_action object yes What really happened. In this gate it should always be no-op/record-only.
human_or_atlas_decision object yes Comparison target from fixture expected label, human label, or Atlas decision.
outcome object yes Agreement/error bucket used by the eval harness.
npu_proof object yes Evidence that a real NPU-backed inference ran, where available.
latency object yes Request latency and optional queue/processing timings.
fallback object yes Whether CPU/offline/health-only fallback happened and why.
privacy object yes What was redacted/hashed and what retention class applies.
notes array[string] no Short non-private audit notes.

Field details

source:

  • kind: fixture, manual_label, atlas_shadow, human_review, or service_health_probe.
  • fixture_id: stable fixture identifier when applicable.
  • fixture_set: fixture collection name/version.
  • artifact_ref: optional local path or opaque run id; do not include raw private content.
  • content_hash: optional SHA-256 over sanitized fixture content.
  • privacy_class: synthetic, public, non_private, redacted, or private_disallowed.

service:

  • name: e.g. openvino_context_gate, cron_n8n_advisory, npu_batch_triage, npu_voice_audio_pipeline, kanban_hygiene_advisory, openvino_advisory_gateway.
  • endpoint: local endpoint label or script name; avoid sensitive URL params.
  • mode: dry_run, shadow, health_only, or offline_fixture.
  • model: optional model/backend label, if safe to log.

recommendation:

  • label: normalized recommendation, e.g. suppress, log, summarize, escalate, retrieve_more_context, skip_private_root, needs_human, no_action, or unknown.
  • severity: none, info, low, medium, high, or critical.
  • reasons: short non-private reason codes, not raw excerpts.
  • evidence_refs: bounded references to sanitized fixture fields or artifact ids.
  • raw_output_ref: optional local artifact pointer; default null.

confidence:

  • score: float from 0.0 to 1.0 when available, otherwise null.
  • bucket: one of very_low, low, medium, high, very_high, or unknown.
  • bucket_rule: the threshold rule used by the harness.
  • calibrated: boolean; false until enough labeled dry-run data exists.

Recommended confidence buckets:

Bucket Score range Gate behavior
very_low < 0.40 Treat as uncertain; never escalate automatically.
low 0.40-0.59 Advisory note only; human/Atlas decides.
medium 0.60-0.79 Eligible for comparison metrics; no live action.
high 0.80-0.94 Strong advisory evidence; still gated.
very_high >= 0.95 Promotion candidate only after repeated eval success.
unknown null/missing Count separately; do not coerce to zero.

authority_flags:

All flags default to false and must remain false for this gate.

  • can_route_atlas
  • can_write_memory
  • can_execute_tools
  • can_restart_services
  • can_send_outbound
  • can_scan_private_roots
  • can_mutate_vector_store
  • can_post_advisory_event
  • can_change_gateway_config
  • requires_human_approval
  • advisory_only

For this gate, advisory_only=true and requires_human_approval=true for any recommendation that could eventually affect live behavior.

allowed_actions:

Allowed by default:

  • record_metric
  • compare_with_expected_label
  • include_in_digest
  • open_review_ticket_candidate
  • recommend_human_review

Disallowed unless a later approval explicitly changes scope:

  • route_atlas
  • write_memory
  • execute_tool
  • restart_service
  • send_message
  • scan_private_root
  • mutate_vector_store
  • post_gateway_event

actual_action:

  • kind: should be none, recorded_metric, or dry_run_reported.
  • performed: boolean; false for live side effects in this gate.
  • performed_by: harness, human, atlas, or null.
  • side_effects: array; should be empty except local report/artifact writes.

human_or_atlas_decision:

  • source: fixture_expected, human_label, atlas_shadow, or missing.
  • label: normalized decision label using the same label set as recommendation.label when possible.
  • severity: normalized severity when applicable.
  • confidence: optional Atlas/human confidence if available.
  • decision_ref: optional review id, fixture id, or session/run id.
  • timestamp: optional timestamp for the comparison decision.

outcome:

  • comparison: agree, disagree, uncertain, missing_reference, or not_applicable.
  • error_type: null or one of false_positive, false_negative, severity_overcall, severity_undercall, unsafe_authority, privacy_violation, fallback_unexpected, latency_slo_miss, npu_proof_missing.
  • human_review_required: boolean.
  • promotion_blocker: boolean.

npu_proof:

  • proof_mode: sysfs_busy_delta, service_reported_delta, health_only, offline_fixture, or unavailable.
  • busy_delta_us: integer or null.
  • service_reported_delta_us: integer or null.
  • inference_ran: boolean.
  • proof_ok: boolean or null. Null means not measurable, not false.
  • counter_path: usually /sys/class/accel/accel0/device/npu_busy_time_us, if logged safely.

latency:

  • total_ms: end-to-end harness timing.
  • service_ms: service-reported processing time when available.
  • queue_ms: optional queue time.
  • timeout: boolean.

fallback:

  • occurred: boolean.
  • kind: null, cpu, offline, health_only, service_unavailable, skipped_cold_load, private_root_blocked, or proof_unavailable.
  • reason: short reason code.
  • expected: boolean. Expected fallbacks are counted but do not fail promotion unless their rate exceeds the threshold for that lane.

privacy:

  • payload_logged: must default false.
  • redaction: none_needed, hash_only, paths_only, metadata_only, or blocked_private.
  • retention: ephemeral, local_audit, or review_artifact.
  • contains_private_payload: must be false for committed fixtures.

Minimal JSON shape

{
  "schema_version": "npu_advisory_decision_v1",
  "decision_id": "01J00000000000000000000000",
  "timestamp": "2026-06-06T00:00:00Z",
  "source": {
    "kind": "fixture",
    "fixture_id": "cron_duplicate_success_001",
    "fixture_set": "npu_advisory_eval_v1",
    "artifact_ref": null,
    "content_hash": "sha256:example",
    "privacy_class": "synthetic"
  },
  "service": {
    "name": "cron_n8n_advisory",
    "endpoint": "openvino-advisory-gateway/examples/cron-advisory-dry-run.sh",
    "mode": "dry_run",
    "model": "openvino-local"
  },
  "input_class": "cron_n8n_event",
  "recommendation": {
    "label": "suppress",
    "severity": "info",
    "reasons": ["duplicate_success", "no_action_required"],
    "evidence_refs": ["fixture:event_kind", "fixture:status"],
    "raw_output_ref": null
  },
  "confidence": {
    "score": 0.91,
    "bucket": "high",
    "bucket_rule": "v1_default",
    "calibrated": false
  },
  "authority_flags": {
    "can_route_atlas": false,
    "can_write_memory": false,
    "can_execute_tools": false,
    "can_restart_services": false,
    "can_send_outbound": false,
    "can_scan_private_roots": false,
    "can_mutate_vector_store": false,
    "can_post_advisory_event": false,
    "can_change_gateway_config": false,
    "requires_human_approval": true,
    "advisory_only": true
  },
  "allowed_actions": [
    "record_metric",
    "compare_with_expected_label",
    "include_in_digest"
  ],
  "actual_action": {
    "kind": "dry_run_reported",
    "performed": false,
    "performed_by": "harness",
    "side_effects": []
  },
  "human_or_atlas_decision": {
    "source": "fixture_expected",
    "label": "suppress",
    "severity": "info",
    "confidence": null,
    "decision_ref": "cron_duplicate_success_001",
    "timestamp": null
  },
  "outcome": {
    "comparison": "agree",
    "error_type": null,
    "human_review_required": false,
    "promotion_blocker": false
  },
  "npu_proof": {
    "proof_mode": "sysfs_busy_delta",
    "busy_delta_us": 1200,
    "service_reported_delta_us": 1180,
    "inference_ran": true,
    "proof_ok": true,
    "counter_path": "/sys/class/accel/accel0/device/npu_busy_time_us"
  },
  "latency": {
    "total_ms": 42.5,
    "service_ms": 39.1,
    "queue_ms": null,
    "timeout": false
  },
  "fallback": {
    "occurred": false,
    "kind": null,
    "reason": null,
    "expected": false
  },
  "privacy": {
    "payload_logged": false,
    "redaction": "metadata_only",
    "retention": "local_audit",
    "contains_private_payload": false
  },
  "notes": []
}

Dry-run comparison strategy

Each fixture or shadow input should produce one npu_advisory_decision_v1 record. The harness compares recommendation to human_or_atlas_decision in this order:

  1. Use fixture_expected labels for synthetic/non-private regression fixtures.
  2. Use explicit human_label for reviewed samples.
  3. Use atlas_shadow only as a comparison signal, not ground truth, when a human label is unavailable.
  4. Mark missing_reference rather than inventing a target decision.

Comparison categories:

  • agree: normalized label and severity are compatible.
  • disagree: label conflicts with the reference decision.
  • uncertain: NPU bucket is very_low, low, or unknown, or the service returned a deliberate needs_human/unknown label.
  • false_positive: NPU recommended escalation/action but reference says suppress/no-op.
  • false_negative: NPU recommended suppress/no-op but reference says escalate or action-needed.
  • severity_overcall / severity_undercall: label matches but severity differs by more than one level.

The summary should be grouped by lane (input_class and service.name) and by confidence bucket. Unknown metrics remain null/n/a; do not coerce missing data to zero.

Metrics

Minimum per-run metrics:

  • total_records
  • records_by_input_class
  • records_by_service
  • confidence_bucket_counts
  • recommendation_counts
  • authority_flag_violation_count
  • privacy_violation_count
  • actual_side_effect_count
  • agree_count, disagree_count, uncertain_count, missing_reference_count
  • false_positive_count, false_negative_count
  • severity_overcall_count, severity_undercall_count
  • fallback_count and fallback_counts_by_kind
  • expected_fallback_count vs unexpected_fallback_count
  • npu_proof_ok_count, npu_proof_missing_count, npu_proof_not_applicable_count
  • p50/p95 latency.total_ms by service and input class
  • timeout_count

Recommended derived rates:

  • agreement_rate = agree / (agree + disagree + false_positive + false_negative + severity_overcall + severity_undercall)
  • uncertain_rate = uncertain / total_records
  • false_positive_rate = false_positive / comparable_records
  • false_negative_rate = false_negative / comparable_records
  • unsafe_authority_rate = authority_flag_violation_count / total_records
  • privacy_violation_rate = privacy_violation_count / total_records
  • unexpected_fallback_rate = unexpected_fallback_count / total_records
  • proof_ok_rate = npu_proof_ok_count / proof_required_records

Acceptance thresholds before future promotion

These thresholds are for considering a later, separately approved promotion. They do not grant authority by themselves.

Global blockers for every lane:

  • authority_flag_violation_count == 0.
  • actual_side_effect_count == 0 for dry-run harness execution.
  • privacy_violation_count == 0 and no committed private fixtures/secrets.
  • No raw private payloads in logs, reports, artifacts, or test fixtures.
  • No service bind, route, memory, tool, send, restart, or vector-store mutation introduced by the eval code.

Minimum data quality before promotion discussion:

  • At least 30 comparable synthetic/non-private records per lane, or all available lane fixtures if the lane is explicitly scoped smaller.
  • Every advisory lane has at least one normal case, one low-confidence case, one false-alarm/noise case, and one action-needed/escalation case.
  • missing_reference_count == 0 for promotion-candidate fixture sets.
  • Confidence bucket distribution is reported and stable across at least three dry-run executions.

Suggested metric thresholds:

Metric Threshold for promotion discussion
Agreement rate >= 0.95 overall and >= 0.90 per lane
False positive rate <= 0.03 overall and no repeated high-severity false positives
False negative rate <= 0.01 for action-needed/escalation cases
Uncertain rate <= 0.15 overall, unless lane is intentionally conservative
Unexpected fallback rate <= 0.02 and every fallback has a reason code
NPU proof OK rate >= 0.98 for proof-required lanes
p95 latency Within the lane-specific SLO documented by the implementation task
Authority/privacy violations exactly 0

Promotion remains lane-specific. A passing context-gate eval does not promote cron/n8n, voice/audio, batch triage, Kanban hygiene, or advisory gateway lanes. Each lane needs its own human-approved scope, rollback plan, and review.

Output formats

The dry-run harness should emit:

  1. JSONL decisions: one npu_advisory_decision_v1 object per line.
  2. Compact JSON summary: aggregate counts/rates for dashboards and follow-up digest scripts.
  3. Compact Markdown/text summary: suitable for terminal, Telegram, or Discord.

The Markdown/text summary should include:

  • run id, fixture set, generated-at timestamp;
  • records by lane/service;
  • agreement/uncertain/false-positive/false-negative counts;
  • confidence bucket distribution;
  • fallback counts;
  • NPU proof counts;
  • authority/privacy violation counts;
  • promotion blockers and caveats.

Fixture expectations

Use synthetic/non-private fixtures only. Required lanes:

  • context_gate: retrieve/no-retrieve decisions with missing, conflicting, and sufficient context cases.
  • cron_n8n_event: duplicate success, stale warning, urgent false alarm, and action-needed failure.
  • batch_doc_triage: private-root blocked, approved synthetic sample, noisy OCR, and needs-human cases.
  • voice_audio: bounded generated audio, low-confidence transcript, harmless background noise, and action-needed command-like utterance that must not execute.
  • kanban_hygiene: no-op healthy card, stale/card-needs-review, false alarm, and action-needed label.
  • advisory_gateway_envelope: valid classify/generate/triage envelope examples plus malformed/unsafe authority-request examples.

Any fixture that resembles private content should be replaced with a synthetic fixture or reduced to metadata/hash-only form before committing.

Review checklist

Before implementation or docs depending on this spec are accepted, verify:

  • schema_version is present and all authority flags default closed.
  • Dry-run execution produces no live side effects beyond local report/artifact writes.
  • Unknown/missing metrics are represented as null/n/a, not fake zero.
  • Raw payloads and private paths are not persisted by default.
  • Summary metrics include confidence buckets, fallback counts, NPU proof, and authority/privacy violations.
  • Promotion language says "candidate" or "discussion" only; no automatic live authority is granted by a passing eval.